Instituto Cordoba 2-1 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.84
X/2
10%
5.65
X/X
10%
3.86
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
19%
4.46
2/X
9%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.32/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.26
-13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.6 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
243 Passes 192
65% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-3 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
08.10.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
18.02.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
18.08.2016 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJK
19.03.2006 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
08.10.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2-1
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
0.65 xG 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
198 Passes 356
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba nicked a narrow win over Gimnasia La Plata 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Instituto Cordoba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 40% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 60%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.65 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia La Plata led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 1.50 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Instituto Cordoba 2-1 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 38%, draw 28%, Gimnasia La Plata 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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