Defensa y Justicia 0-2 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 38%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.53/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.75
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
12.2 Crosses 22.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
290 Passes 315
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.02.2025 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
25.05.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
17.04.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
28.11.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 3-0 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
11.02.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
26.07.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-2 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0-2
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.34 xG 1.29
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
479 Passes 145
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 31
30 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys beat Defensa y Justicia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Newells Old Boys made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 71% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 29%, shots finished 21-20, expected goals 1.34 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.83 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys?

Defensa y Justicia 0-2 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Cup on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 34%, draw 32%, Newells Old Boys 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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