Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newells Old Boys v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals
Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Newells Old Boys
ARJ
1-2
HT 0-1
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
1-0
HT 0-0
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
Newells Old Boys 0-1 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics
Defensa y Justicia edged past Newells Old Boys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Defensa y Justicia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Newells Old Boys had 39% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 61%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.81 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newells Old Boys and 0.67 for Defensa y Justicia.
What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia?
Newells Old Boys 0-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 34%, draw 28%, Defensa y Justicia 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.