Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newells Old Boys v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals
Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Newells Old Boys
ARJ
1-2
HT 0-1
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
1-0
HT 0-0
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
2-0
HT 0-0
Newells Old Boys
ARJ
Newells Old Boys 1-0 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics
Newells Old Boys nicked a narrow win over Defensa y Justicia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newells Old Boys as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Newells Old Boys had 43% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 57%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.75 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.00 for Defensa y Justicia.
What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia?
Newells Old Boys 1-0 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 50%, draw 27%, Defensa y Justicia 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newells Old Boys), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.