Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Argentinos Juniors v River Plate — Team-Based Signals
Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-2
River Plate
ARJ
2-1
HT 0-1
Argentinos Juniors
ARJ
0-3
HT 0-0
River Plate
ARJ
4-2
HT 2-1
Argentinos Juniors
ARJ
3-0
HT 1-0
Argentinos Juniors
ARJ
Argentinos Juniors 1-0 River Plate — Actual Match Statistics
Argentinos Juniors squeezed past River Plate 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Argentinos Juniors made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 43% of the ball to River Plate's 57%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.71 to 0.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 2.50 for River Plate.
What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate?
Argentinos Juniors 1-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate?
Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 35%, draw 26%, River Plate 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.