River Plate 1-1 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.02
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
16.65
X/1
19%
3.59
X/2
6%
10.95
X/X
13%
4.77
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
8%
9.46
2/X
4%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.88/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.47
+11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
23.8 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 0.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 285
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-2 HT 2-2 River Plate River Plate ARJ
13.02.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
03.10.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-3 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
11.04.2022 River Plate River Plate 4-2 HT 2-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
26.10.2021 River Plate River Plate 3-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
22.07.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-1
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.43 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
375 Passes 225
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate and Argentinos Juniors shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, River Plate had 60% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 40%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.43 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for River Plate and 1.00 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors?

River Plate 1-1 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split River Plate 53%, draw 28%, Argentinos Juniors 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
29 Jan 2024
03:00 Estudiantes vs Belgrano Cordoba Analysis →