Estudiantes 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
6.45
6+ Goals
8%
49.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.86
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
16.05
X/1
10%
3.93
X/2
9%
7.3
X/X
11%
3.42
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
9%
6.73
2/X
9%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.32/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.25
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.8 Crosses 19.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
23.07.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 4-0 HT 2-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
13.07.2022 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
25.08.2018 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
21.04.2018 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
17.06.2017 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-0 HT 2-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-0
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
2.14 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
377 Passes 311
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Belgrano Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes nicked a narrow win over Belgrano Cordoba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes had 54% of the ball to Belgrano Cordoba's 46%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.14 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Estudiantes and 1.00 for Belgrano Cordoba.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Estudiantes 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 47%, draw 29%, Belgrano Cordoba 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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