Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.20/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.38
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 67%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.7 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
325 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2024 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 2-2 HT 1-2 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
26.10.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
11.02.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-1 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
2-1
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
3.24 xG 1.23
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
160 Passes 366
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba squeezed past Central Cordoba Santiago 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Belgrano Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 35% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 65%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 3.24 to 1.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Belgrano Cordoba's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 1.00 for Central Cordoba Santiago.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 47%, draw 26%, Central Cordoba Santiago 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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