Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensa y Justicia v Newells Old Boys — Team-Based Signals
Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Newells Old Boys
ARJ
Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Newells Old Boys — Actual Match Statistics
Defensa y Justicia and Newells Old Boys shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Defensa y Justicia at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 79% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 21%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.00 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 1.00 for Newells Old Boys.
What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys?
Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 51%, draw 27%, Newells Old Boys 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) went the other way.