Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
7.15
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
17%
6.22
X/X
17%
3.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.54
2/X
8%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.10/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.22
-13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
26.0 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lanus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
213 Passes 364
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2025 Lanus Lanus 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
01.10.2024 Lanus Lanus 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
16.05.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
25.07.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
25.08.2021 Lanus Lanus 2-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
03.04.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-4 HT 1-2 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-2
AWAY Lanus
0.67 xG 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
236 Passes 380
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus edged past Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Lanus made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 41% of the ball to Lanus's 59%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.67 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.00 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Lanus?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 36%, draw 30%, Lanus 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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