Rosario Central 1-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.41
Over 2.5
34%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.3
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.34
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.3
X/1
19%
3.88
X/2
4%
9.93
X/X
15%
3.41
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
9.68
2/X
5%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.6pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.31/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.14
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 69%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
26.0 Crosses 10.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.12 xG 0.81
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
380 Passes 138
79% Pass Accuracy 54%
22 Box Touches 18
38 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2025 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
24.05.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-2 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
18.04.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
03.09.2017 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.08 xG 1.01
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
283 Passes 117
78% Pass Accuracy 54%
17 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central and Deportivo Riestra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rosario Central at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Rosario Central had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 38%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.08 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rosario Central had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Rosario Central and 0.50 for Deportivo Riestra.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Deportivo Riestra?

Rosario Central 1-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 52%, draw 30%, Deportivo Riestra 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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