CA Sarmiento 2-2 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
6.84
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.46
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
13%
5.38
X/2
7%
5.18
X/X
17%
3.14
2/1
14%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.21
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.1pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.24/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.22
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.3 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
202 Passes 330
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2025 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 5-0 HT 4-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
05.11.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
26.06.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 4-1 HT 3-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
20.07.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
11.02.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
21.08.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
2-2
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.97 xG 1.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
232 Passes 309
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento and Atletico Tucuman couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 43% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 57%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.97 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.33 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Atletico Tucuman?

CA Sarmiento 2-2 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 40%, draw 30%, Atletico Tucuman 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CA Sarmiento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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