Croydon Kings 1-1 Sturt Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL South, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
45%
+6.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturt Lions EU Bookmakers 36%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.77
+150% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +80%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
397 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sturt Lions
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2026 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 0-2 HT 0-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
20.05.2023 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
25.02.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 5-2 HT 1-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
09.07.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-1 HT 0-1 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
09.04.2022 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 0-4 HT 0-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVSA
10.07.2021 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs Sturt Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings and Sturt Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Croydon Kings at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Croydon Kings had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Croydon Kings and 0.83 for Sturt Lions.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Sturt Lions?

Croydon Kings 1-1 Sturt Lions in the Australia - NPL South on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Sturt Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 51%, draw 19%, Sturt Lions 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Croydon Kings), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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