Croydon Kings vs Sturt Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Croydon Kings v Sturt Lions — Team-Based Signals
Croydon Kings vs Sturt Lions Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Croydon Kings
AVNPL
5-2
HT 1-0
Sturt Lions
AVNPL
2-1
HT 0-1
Sturt Lions
AVNPL
0-4
HT 0-2
Croydon Kings
AVSA
1-1
HT 1-0
Croydon Kings
AVNPL
Croydon Kings and Sturt Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Croydon Kings at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Croydon Kings had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Croydon Kings and 0.83 for Sturt Lions.
What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Sturt Lions?
Croydon Kings 1-1 Sturt Lions in the Australia - NPL South on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Sturt Lions?
Before kick-off our model rated a Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 51%, draw 19%, Sturt Lions 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Croydon Kings), Over 2.5 went the other way.