Sturt Lions 0-2 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 May 2026

Sturt Lions
0-2 HT 0-0
Croydon Kings
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2026

Sturt Lions vs Croydon Kings Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.35
No
46%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
70%
-15.9pp
46%
BTTS No
30%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturt Lions v Croydon Kings — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturt Lions EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 39%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
2.39/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.67
+44% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Sturt Lions vs Croydon Kings Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturt Lions
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Croydon Kings
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.05.2023 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
25.02.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 5-2 HT 1-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
09.07.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-1 HT 0-1 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
09.04.2022 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 0-4 HT 0-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVSA
10.07.2021 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
10.04.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-2 HT 0-1 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sturt Lions vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings beat Sturt Lions 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Croydon Kings made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Croydon Kings led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sturt Lions and 2.33 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Sturt Lions vs Croydon Kings?

Sturt Lions 0-2 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturt Lions vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sturt Lions 36%, draw 25%, Croydon Kings 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Croydon Kings) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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