Hume City 3-0 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.25/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/1.86
+24% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 11.6
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Avondale Heights
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2025 Hume City Hume City 1-2 HT 1-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
29.03.2025 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 2-0 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
15.06.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 5-0 HT 2-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
09.03.2024 Hume City Hume City 1-2 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
03.06.2023 Hume City Hume City 0-1 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
04.03.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-2 HT 2-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City ran out comfortable winners over Avondale Heights 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Hume City made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hume City and 2.50 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Avondale Heights?

Hume City 3-0 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hume City 34%, draw 31%, Avondale Heights 35%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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