Belmont Swansea 1-1 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
13%
4.62
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.46
No
35%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-2.8pp
13%
Draw
18%
-5.2pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
64%
+0.3pp
35%
BTTS No
36%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belmont Swansea EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
3.83/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.16
+63% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belmont Swansea
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.02.2026 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-2 HT 0-0 Belmont Swansea AVNPL
31.05.2025 Belmont Swansea 2-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
01.03.2025 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-2 HT 1-0 Belmont Swansea AVNPL
POST-MATCH Belmont Swansea vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belmont Swansea and Valentine Phoenix couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Belmont Swansea carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (74%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Belmont Swansea had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Belmont Swansea and 1.33 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Belmont Swansea vs Valentine Phoenix?

Belmont Swansea 1-1 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belmont Swansea vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belmont Swansea win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Belmont Swansea 62%, draw 13%, Valentine Phoenix 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Belmont Swansea), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belmont Swansea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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