Valentine Phoenix 1-2 Belmont Swansea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
24%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.2pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.1pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Belmont Swansea EU Bookmakers 58%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.23/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-7% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Belmont Swansea
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
31.05.2025 Belmont Swansea 2-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
01.03.2025 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-2 HT 1-0 Belmont Swansea AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Belmont Swansea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belmont Swansea edged past Valentine Phoenix 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Belmont Swansea as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Belmont Swansea led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 2.00 for Belmont Swansea.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Belmont Swansea?

Valentine Phoenix 1-2 Belmont Swansea in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Belmont Swansea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belmont Swansea win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 18%, draw 31%, Belmont Swansea 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belmont Swansea), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belmont Swansea) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
21 Feb 2026
08:00 Magic United vs Gold Coast United Analysis →
09:15 UNSW FC vs SD Raiders Analysis →
09:30 Sutherland Sharks vs St. George Saints Analysis →
09:30 NWS Spirit vs Sydney II Analysis →
10:00 Rochedale Rovers vs WDSC Wolves Analysis →
11:00 Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United Analysis →