O Connor Knights 1-5 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
67%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.0
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.5
No
36%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.1pp
14%
Draw
13%
+1.0pp
67%
Away Win
77%
-10.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.4pp
36%
BTTS No
38%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 81%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.28/2.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.11/0.94
+31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
228 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Connor Knights
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Canberra FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
26.07.2025 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-3 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
31.05.2025 Canberra FC Canberra FC 9-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
05.04.2025 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
17.08.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
22.06.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
05.05.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-3 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC cruised past O Connor Knights 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for O Connor Knights and 3.67 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC?

O Connor Knights 1-5 Canberra FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split O Connor Knights 19%, draw 14%, Canberra FC 67%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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