O Connor Knights 2-3 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.78
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
65%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
11%
+12.8pp
65%
Away Win
79%
-14.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.8pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 84%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.72/2.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/0.53
-26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +81%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Connor Knights
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Canberra FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 6
31.05.2025 Canberra FC Canberra FC 9-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
05.04.2025 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
17.08.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
22.06.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
05.05.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-3 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
23.09.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-1 HT 1-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
POST-MATCH O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC edged past O Connor Knights 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for O Connor Knights and 3.33 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC?

O Connor Knights 2-3 Canberra FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split O Connor Knights 11%, draw 24%, Canberra FC 65%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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