Adelaide City 5-1 Para Hills Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-14.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
21%
+12.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.82/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/2.59
-22% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Para Hills Knights
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
03.05.2025 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 1-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
01.06.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-0 HT 0-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
01.03.2024 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 2-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
22.08.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 0-2 HT 0-2 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
04.07.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City ran out comfortable winners over Para Hills Knights 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Adelaide City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Adelaide City and 0.80 for Para Hills Knights.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights?

Adelaide City 5-1 Para Hills Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 43%, draw 24%, Para Hills Knights 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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