Adelaide City 1-0 Para Hills Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.04/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.59
-9% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Para Hills Knights
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
01.03.2024 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 2-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
22.08.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 0-2 HT 0-2 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
04.07.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City nicked a narrow win over Para Hills Knights 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Adelaide City had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Adelaide City and 1.00 for Para Hills Knights.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights?

Adelaide City 1-0 Para Hills Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 58%, draw 20%, Para Hills Knights 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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