Para Hills Knights 2-3 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 70%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.95
-51% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Para Hills Knights
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Adelaide City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
22.08.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 0-2 HT 0-2 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
04.07.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City squeezed past Para Hills Knights 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Adelaide City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Para Hills Knights and 2.00 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide City?

Para Hills Knights 2-3 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Para Hills Knights 25%, draw 21%, Adelaide City 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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