Heidelberg United 3-0 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

Heidelberg United
3-0 HT 2-0
Green Gully
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Heidelberg United vs Green Gully Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.0pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heidelberg United v Green Gully — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.04/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.70
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.0 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Heidelberg United vs Green Gully Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 0.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
210 Passes 200
61% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 1-2 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
05.05.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
31.07.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-2 HT 0-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
29.04.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 4-0 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
20.06.2021 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
19.03.2021 Green Gully Green Gully 1-2 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United swept aside Green Gully 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Heidelberg United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.33 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Green Gully?

Heidelberg United 3-0 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated an Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 33%, draw 32%, Green Gully 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Green Gully), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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