Moreland City 0-1 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.78
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
64%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
45%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.2pp
64%
Away Win
76%
-11.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreland City EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 80%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
0.14/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.65/0.84
-85% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreland City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Avondale Heights
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.06.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 0-3 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
18.03.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 7-0 HT 5-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreland City vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights edged past Moreland City 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Moreland City and 5.00 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Moreland City vs Avondale Heights?

Moreland City 0-1 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreland City vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Moreland City 14%, draw 22%, Avondale Heights 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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