Queensland Lions 3-2 Rochedale Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.96/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.16
-11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +71%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rochedale Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
28.07.2023 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
29.04.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-3 HT 1-3 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Rochedale Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions nicked a narrow win over Rochedale Rovers 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rochedale Rovers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queensland Lions and 2.00 for Rochedale Rovers.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Rochedale Rovers?

Queensland Lions 3-2 Rochedale Rovers in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Rochedale Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 51%, draw 21%, Rochedale Rovers 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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