Para Hills Knights 1-2 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 59%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +16%
1.06/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.73
-22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +61%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
266 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Para Hills Knights
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Adelaide City
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
01.06.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-0 HT 0-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
01.03.2024 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 2-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
22.08.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 0-2 HT 0-2 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
04.07.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City squeezed past Para Hills Knights 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Adelaide City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Para Hills Knights and 2.00 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide City?

Para Hills Knights 1-2 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Para Hills Knights 27%, draw 25%, Adelaide City 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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