Adelaide Raiders 1-3 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.2pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 50%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +20%
1.33/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.12
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
393 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Raiders
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Croydon Kings
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 3-2 HT 2-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
31.01.2025 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 3-2 HT 2-2 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders HAZ
25.05.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
24.02.2024 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 4-1 HT 0-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
28.08.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 0-2 HT 0-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
12.06.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Raiders vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings beat Adelaide Raiders 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Croydon Kings as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Croydon Kings led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Adelaide Raiders and 2.00 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Adelaide Raiders vs Croydon Kings?

Adelaide Raiders 1-3 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Raiders vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Raiders 31%, draw 28%, Croydon Kings 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Croydon Kings), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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