Croydon Kings 2-1 Adelaide Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-15.6pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.17/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.52
+28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Adelaide Raiders
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2024 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 4-1 HT 0-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
28.08.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 0-2 HT 0-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
12.06.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
31.10.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-0 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
16.03.2014 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-4 HT 0-3 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings squeezed past Adelaide Raiders 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Croydon Kings found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Adelaide Raiders led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Croydon Kings and 2.00 for Adelaide Raiders.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Raiders?

Croydon Kings 2-1 Adelaide Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide Raiders win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 36%, draw 26%, Adelaide Raiders 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide Raiders) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide Raiders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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