Green Gully 1-2 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.45/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.68
+1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses 12.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hume City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.05 xG 0.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
346 Passes 249
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Hume City Hume City 2-0 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
15.07.2023 Hume City Hume City 0-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
14.04.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 1-3 HT 1-2 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
23.07.2022 Hume City Hume City 0-2 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
22.04.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
05.03.2021 Green Gully Green Gully 1-1 HT 0-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City squeezed past Green Gully 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hume City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Green Gully had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Green Gully and 1.00 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Hume City?

Green Gully 1-2 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 34%, draw 24%, Hume City 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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