South Hobart 3-3 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
50%
-16.4pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.5pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 31%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.63/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.50
+84% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
30.07.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
27.05.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
18.03.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 2-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
21.08.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
24.06.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-0 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart and Kingborough Lions shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for South Hobart and 1.50 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?

South Hobart 3-3 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 33%, draw 33%, Kingborough Lions 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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