Kingborough Lions 1-3 South Hobart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.17
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.31
No
32%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.4pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.0pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.0pp
68%
BTTS Yes
72%
-4.2pp
32%
BTTS No
28%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY South Hobart EU Bookmakers 43%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.00
-100% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
2W-1D-3L
AWAY South Hobart
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
27.05.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
18.03.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 2-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
21.08.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
24.06.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-0 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
09.04.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 4-4 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart beat Kingborough Lions 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kingborough Lions at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kingborough Lions and 2.17 for South Hobart.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?

Kingborough Lions 1-3 South Hobart in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 43%, draw 23%, South Hobart 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kingborough Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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