Maitland 0-1 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
46%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
38%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+9.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maitland EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.40/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.60
-18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maitland
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Weston Bears
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Weston Bears Weston Bears 5-1 HT 2-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
19.08.2023 Maitland Maitland 0-2 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNSW
25.06.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-3 HT 0-0 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
01.04.2023 Maitland Maitland 0-1 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
02.07.2022 Maitland Maitland 2-3 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
09.04.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-2 HT 0-1 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
POST-MATCH Maitland vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears edged past Maitland 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston Bears led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maitland and 2.17 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of Maitland vs Weston Bears?

Maitland 0-1 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maitland vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maitland 26%, draw 28%, Weston Bears 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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