Hume City 2-0 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.43
No
54%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
66%
-19.8pp
54%
BTTS No
34%
+19.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -10%
1.25/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.70
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.0 Crosses 17.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Green Gully
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.43 xG 2.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
249 Passes 346
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 Hume City Hume City 0-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
14.04.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 1-3 HT 1-2 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
23.07.2022 Hume City Hume City 0-2 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
22.04.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
05.03.2021 Green Gully Green Gully 1-1 HT 0-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
25.04.2015 Hume City Hume City 1-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City got the better of Green Gully 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Hume City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Green Gully led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hume City and 1.00 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Green Gully?

Hume City 2-0 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hume City 41%, draw 23%, Green Gully 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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