Western Sydney W. II 3-1 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.7pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 33%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.78/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.60
-37% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 15.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney W. II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
355 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.07.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 2-0 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
09.04.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney W. II got the better of Sutherland Sharks 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Western Sydney W. II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sutherland Sharks led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Western Sydney W. II and 1.50 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs Sutherland Sharks?

Western Sydney W. II 3-1 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney W. II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 41%, draw 24%, Sutherland Sharks 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney W. II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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