St George City FA 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
1.28/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.69
-6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.6 Crosses 18.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.79 xG 1.37
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
330 Passes 146
75% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-2 HT 2-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
04.02.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 3-4 HT 2-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden edged past St George City FA 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Rockdale Ilinden made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for St George City FA and 3.00 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden?

St George City FA 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 42%, draw 22%, Rockdale Ilinden 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St George City FA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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