South Hobart 4-1 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.8pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
3.84/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.77
+46% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
430 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
15.03.2025 South Hobart South Hobart 4-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
27.07.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-4 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
25.05.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 3-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
16.03.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
30.07.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart ran out comfortable winners over Kingborough Lions 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South Hobart as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for South Hobart and 1.83 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?

South Hobart 4-1 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 60%, draw 19%, Kingborough Lions 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
26 Jul 2025
08:00 O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC Analysis →
08:00 Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights Analysis →
08:00 Cooks Hill United vs Weston Bears Analysis →
08:15 Altona Magic vs Avondale Heights Analysis →
08:30 Adelaide Raiders vs Croydon Kings Analysis →
08:30 Adelaide United II vs Campbelltown City Analysis →