Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.33
No
39%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
18%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.5pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
62%
Away Win
70%
-8.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
71%
-10.3pp
39%
BTTS No
29%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY South Hobart EU Bookmakers 75%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.44/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.50/0.96
+36% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +4%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
1W-1D-4L
AWAY South Hobart
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 South Hobart South Hobart 4-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
27.07.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-4 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
25.05.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 3-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
16.03.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
30.07.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
27.05.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart squeezed past Kingborough Lions 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had South Hobart as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kingborough Lions and 3.00 for South Hobart.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?

Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?

Before kick-off our model rated an South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 18%, draw 19%, South Hobart 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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