Adelaide Raiders 1-2 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.42/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.16
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Raiders
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adelaide City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
28.03.2024 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
17.08.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 5-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
01.05.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
12.09.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
25.07.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Raiders vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City nicked a narrow win over Adelaide Raiders 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adelaide Raiders and 1.67 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Adelaide Raiders vs Adelaide City?

Adelaide Raiders 1-2 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Raiders vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Raiders 26%, draw 27%, Adelaide City 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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