Adelaide City 2-1 Adelaide Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.54/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.87
-27% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adelaide Raiders
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
17.08.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 5-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
01.05.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
12.09.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
25.07.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
30.01.2015 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders HAZ
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Adelaide Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City edged past Adelaide Raiders 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Adelaide City and 1.17 for Adelaide Raiders.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Adelaide Raiders?

Adelaide City 2-1 Adelaide Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Adelaide Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 48%, draw 26%, Adelaide Raiders 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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