Launceston United 1-6 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
12.23
Draw
16%
7.78
Away
56%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
5%
+23.0pp
16%
Draw
9%
+6.4pp
56%
Away Win
85%
-29.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston United EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 91%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/3.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.25
+5% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston United
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Launceston City
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 Launceston City Launceston City 5-0 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
30.08.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 3-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
02.09.2023 Launceston United Launceston United 2-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
09.07.2023 Launceston United Launceston United 0-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
05.05.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 3-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston United vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City swept aside Launceston United 6-1 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Launceston City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Launceston City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Launceston United and 2.80 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Launceston United vs Launceston City?

Launceston United 1-6 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston United vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Launceston United 28%, draw 16%, Launceston City 56%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Launceston City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Launceston City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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