Launceston City 3-1 Launceston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-15.2pp
12%
Draw
8%
+3.7pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston United EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.00/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/4.57
+2% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -39%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
467 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Launceston United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Launceston United Launceston United 2-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
09.07.2023 Launceston United Launceston United 0-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
05.05.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 3-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs Launceston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City got the better of Launceston United 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Launceston City as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Launceston City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Launceston City and 1.00 for Launceston United.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs Launceston United?

Launceston City 3-1 Launceston United in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs Launceston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 70%, draw 12%, Launceston United 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Launceston City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Launceston City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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