Kingborough Lions 1-4 South Hobart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.28
No
36%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.9pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
74%
-9.7pp
36%
BTTS No
26%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY South Hobart EU Bookmakers 56%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.37/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.43/2.15
-10% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
1W-1D-4L
AWAY South Hobart
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 3-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
16.03.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
30.07.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
27.05.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
18.03.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 2-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
21.08.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart ran out comfortable winners over Kingborough Lions 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had South Hobart as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kingborough Lions and 2.50 for South Hobart.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?

Kingborough Lions 1-4 South Hobart in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?

Before kick-off our model rated an South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 28%, draw 27%, South Hobart 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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