South Hobart 4-2 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.2pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.3pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
3.50/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/2.97
+34% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-4 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
25.05.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 3-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
16.03.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
30.07.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
27.05.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
18.03.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 2-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart got the better of Kingborough Lions 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had South Hobart as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for South Hobart and 1.67 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?

South Hobart 4-2 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 66%, draw 19%, Kingborough Lions 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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