APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-3 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.1pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.78/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.31
-17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.7 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY St. George Saints
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.06.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 HT 3-0 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
23.03.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 2-2 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers and St. George Saints shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.00 for St. George Saints.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-3 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 52%, draw 24%, St. George Saints 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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