APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.18
Draw
26%
6.26
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.75
No
38%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
79%
-21.7pp
26%
Draw
12%
+13.5pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+8.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+9.3pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 11%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.19/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/3.20
-25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
481 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY St. George Saints
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.03.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 2-2 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers ran out comfortable winners over St. George Saints 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 58%, draw 26%, St. George Saints 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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