Clarence Zebras 1-1 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.89
Over 2.5
50%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.38
No
52%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.0pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
31%
+19.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
69%
-19.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.7pp
52%
BTTS No
32%
+20.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.99/3.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/2.46
+103% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clarence Zebras
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Launceston City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 2-1 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
26.08.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-3 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
01.07.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 3-1 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
22.04.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
23.07.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 0-3 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
21.05.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clarence Zebras and Launceston City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Launceston City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Launceston City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Clarence Zebras and 1.67 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City?

Clarence Zebras 1-1 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Clarence Zebras 32%, draw 20%, Launceston City 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Launceston City) ✗ BTTS No
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