Altona Magic 1-0 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 51%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.52/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.28
-36% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Port Melbourne
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.48 xG 1.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
331 Passes 257
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
19.08.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 4-0 HT 2-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
13.05.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
02.07.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-4 HT 0-3 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
02.04.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
08.05.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altona Magic nicked a narrow win over Port Melbourne 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Port Melbourne at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Altona Magic and 2.17 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Port Melbourne?

Altona Magic 1-0 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 29%, draw 25%, Port Melbourne 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Port Melbourne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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