Port Melbourne 1-1 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.87/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.47
-15% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Altona Magic
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.45 xG 0.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 Passes 331
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 4-0 HT 2-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
13.05.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
02.07.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-4 HT 0-3 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
02.04.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
08.05.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne and Altona Magic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Port Melbourne at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Port Melbourne and 0.40 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Altona Magic?

Port Melbourne 1-1 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 52%, draw 25%, Altona Magic 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Port Melbourne), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Melbourne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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