Adamstown Rosebuds 1-1 Lake Macquarie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.68
Over 2.5
62%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.31
No
33%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.2pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.2pp
67%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.7pp
33%
BTTS No
28%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lake Macquarie EU Bookmakers 32%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/3.36
+52% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lake Macquarie
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2024 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-3 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
04.06.2023 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 4-1 HT 3-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
18.03.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 3-2 HT 2-1 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
03.08.2022 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 0-1 HT 0-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
07.05.2022 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-2 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
29.05.2021 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-3 HT 1-2 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adamstown Rosebuds vs Lake Macquarie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adamstown Rosebuds and Lake Macquarie couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (67%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Adamstown Rosebuds and 2.00 for Lake Macquarie.

What was the final score of Adamstown Rosebuds vs Lake Macquarie?

Adamstown Rosebuds 1-1 Lake Macquarie in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Lake Macquarie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adamstown Rosebuds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Adamstown Rosebuds 40%, draw 29%, Lake Macquarie 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adamstown Rosebuds), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adamstown Rosebuds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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