Lake Macquarie 1-3 Adamstown Rosebuds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.32
No
48%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.1pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.1pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
72%
-19.8pp
48%
BTTS No
28%
+19.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lake Macquarie EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 52%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
0.60/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-59% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -67%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lake Macquarie
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2023 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 4-1 HT 3-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
18.03.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 3-2 HT 2-1 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
03.08.2022 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 0-1 HT 0-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
07.05.2022 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-2 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
29.05.2021 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-3 HT 1-2 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
05.08.2020 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 2-1 HT 2-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
POST-MATCH Lake Macquarie vs Adamstown Rosebuds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adamstown Rosebuds got the better of Lake Macquarie 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Adamstown Rosebuds as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lake Macquarie had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lake Macquarie and 1.33 for Adamstown Rosebuds.

What was the final score of Lake Macquarie vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Lake Macquarie 1-3 Adamstown Rosebuds in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lake Macquarie vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adamstown Rosebuds win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lake Macquarie 35%, draw 19%, Adamstown Rosebuds 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adamstown Rosebuds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adamstown Rosebuds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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